Escaping the Trap: Decision-Making in Power Transition Crises
With the rise of China, the question of whether the United States and China will go to war becomes more prevalent. In power transitions, the international norm is that the rising power will challenge the dominant power by going to war, a dynamic known as the Thucydides? trap. The following study analyzes the courses of action during crises that mitigated war during two such prior cases: the United States versus United Kingdom, and the Soviet Union versus the United States. Based on the findings, conclusions are drawn as to how the United States can prepare itself for a crisis with China and recognize which courses of actions will be most effective at preventing war.